Who will reach the grand final of the UEFA Champions League?
After a thrilling 3-3 draw in the first leg, the decisive return leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-final will reveal on Tuesday night the identity of the first finalist, as Inter Milan host Barcelona.
Inter had the upper hand in the most recent semi-final encounter between the two clubs in Europe’s elite competition, going on to lift the trophy in the 2009-2010 season. The Nerazzurri will also benefit from home advantage at the iconic “San Siro,” especially considering Barça have lost their last four away matches at this stage and have only managed two wins in 15 semi-final games on the road.
The winner of this clash will face the victor from the tie between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal, who meet on Wednesday evening following PSG’s 1-0 first-leg triumph in London. Both sides are chasing their first-ever UEFA Champions League title.
This will be PSG’s sixth consecutive encounter with an English side in this season’s competition, having already eliminated Premier League champions Liverpool on penalties, and Aston Villa (winning 3-1 at home and losing 3-2 away), before defeating Arsenal in last week’s first leg.
The statistics favour the French champions, who have progressed in 18 of the last 19 UEFA knockout ties in which they won the first leg.
Here are the key indicators ahead of both matchups, to help you predict the correct outcome and win valuable prizes with “Betway”:
Inter x Barcelona
- Barcelona have won only once in six away games against Inter in the UEFA Champions League (three draws, two defeats). Notably, Barça have recorded just five wins in 24 away fixtures in Italy — their lowest win percentage (21%) in any country outside Spain in the competition.
- Barcelona have netted 40 goals in the Champions League this season — the highest tally by any team in a single campaign since Bayern Munich scored 43 in 2019-2020.
- Inter are unbeaten in their last 15 home games in the UEFA Champions League (12 wins, 3 draws) — their longest such run in major European competitions since a 27-match stretch between 1980 and 1987.
- Inter have won nine of their last 11 home semi-final ties in Europe (one draw, one defeat).
Paris Saint-Germain x Arsenal
- After going unbeaten in their first 13 away fixtures against French clubs in all competitions (8 wins, 5 draws), Arsenal have lost their last two visits — against Rennes in 2019 and Lens in 2023.
- Only two teams in history have reached the UEFA Champions League final after losing the home leg of the semi-final: Ajax against Panathinaikos in 1995-1996, and Tottenham against Ajax in 2018-2019.
- Paris Saint-Germain have won three of their last four home games in the Champions League, scoring 14 goals across those victories. However, they have also suffered two defeats at the Parc des Princes this season (against Liverpool and Atlético Madrid).
- Arsenal have won their last four away games in the UEFA Champions League — but have never achieved five straight away victories in all European competitions.
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